Human researchers warn about “a rather awful decade” in which AI outweighs the main benefits of robotics and people.

Artificial intelligence is moving rapidly, according to researchers HumanityAmazon (Nasdaq:amzn) Founder Jeff Bezosseeking to promote white-collar jobs around the world.

In recent discussion Dwarkesh Patel’s Podcasts, Humanity Researcher Sholt Douglas and Trenton Brecken They explored what they see as a nearly inevitable future: extensive automation of desk work.

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Douglas said the transition could happen sooner than many would expect. “There’s all the spectra of a crazy future, but what we feel is almost guaranteed to get. This is a powerful statement. At least you can’t help but Drop white-collar workers At some point in the next five years, he said.

Bricken agreed, saying, “We should expect it to be automated within the next five years.” Such a shift, Douglas added, “It will completely change the world over the next decade.”

Even if the training algorithm progresses slowly, models that already exist are sufficient to perform many white-collar tasks, especially when fed to the right data. “Even if an algorithm is stagnating and you never understand how to maintain progress… If you have enough of the right kind of data, the current suite of algorithms is enough to automate white-collar work,” Douglas said.

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They argued that automating office tasks is financially legitimate, even when it means that every task needs to be “spooned” into the model. The economic impact of automating or dramatically reducing white-collar work, they said, could be significant. And countries that don’t prepare can be left behind.

Douglas summed it up as follows: “Plan a case where white-collar jobs can be automated. And think about what that means for your economy. What should you do to prepare your policy?”

Douglas said countries like India, Nigeria and Australia that do not have very advanced, large-scale AI models, also known as the “frontier models,” have difficulty making difficult decisions. He advised the government to start Investing in computing infrastructureAI companies, and the broader high-tech ecosystem. “Computing will become the most valuable resource in the world,” he said. “Economy’s GDP is dramatically affected by the amount of calculations that can be deployed.”