Military Expert: Iran’s strike forces have diminished after a catastrophic attack

Amidst the historic events, Iran agreed to a ceasefire on Monday. Limited strikes At a US military base in Qatar.

A contract brokered by the president Donald Trumpmarks the dramatic de-escalation after the 12-day war.

Despite the appearance of a ceasefire contract, experts say Iran’s decision to retreat reflects the serious sacrifices taken by military infrastructure in the wake of what has been coordinated We and Israel attack Nuclear sites, missile stockpile and major production facilities.

“Iran cannot win this war,” said Danny Obach, a military historian at Hebrew University. “They lost about 60% of the launchers. Even if they still have around 1,000 long-range missiles, and they don’t function properly, they can’t deploy them effectively.”

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According to us and Israeli officials, Aldoid at the base Qatar, the largest US base in the Middle East, caused no casualties or minor damage. The strike appears to have been carefully adjusted.

“The strike in Qatar was coordinated with Americans and was not intended to impress or cause real harm,” argued Sima Shine, a former Mossad employee at Israel’s National Security Institute and a senior Iranian expert. “Iran still has weaponsbut it doesn’t want to attract the US to an all-out war. And they know that closing the Strait of Hormuz will end badly for them. ”

“What remains primarily intact is Iran’s short-distance capabilities,” said Blaze Mishtal, vice president of policy at the National Security Institute (Jinsa). “These are thousands of rockets, missiles, drones. Reach Israelhowever, there is a possibility of a complete crash into bases in Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates. That’s what we saw on Al Udeid’s strike. ”

Misztal added that Iran’s remaining Arsenals are “well developed and available in much larger numbers” than long-range weapons. “The danger isn’t just about the US military. Iran can still target energy infrastructure, major cities and commercial transport across the Gulf.”

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2024 resultGeneral Frank Mackenzie, former commander of the US Central Commander, warned that American bases on the Gulf were extremely vulnerable to Iranian missile and drone saturation attacks. He noted that equipment like Al-Udeid is only minutes from Iran’s launch sites and has little time to respond, calling for stronger missile defense integration into the west with regional allies to overcome the “geography tyranny.”

Chief of Staff Dan Kane confirmed that defence measures have been strengthened across Iraq and Syria as the US relocated several aircraft and ships ahead of the expected Iranian retaliation.

Analysts say the real reason for Iran’s climbing is the scale of the loss.

Obach explained that Iran is currently facing what military theorist William Tecumseh Sherman once described as “a range of bad choices.” “They don’t have the money to rebuild everything,” he said. “They need to choose between restoring missile programs, supporting proxy, or reviving nuclear infrastructure. They can’t do that all.”

“Iran continues to be one of the world’s leading national sponsors’ terrifying sponsors,” added Misztal. “And they’ve invested heavily in cyber since the StuxNet attack in 2010. They’re all vulnerable, with energy infrastructure, local systems and even US targets.”

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“Does Iran learn enough lessons from these attacks to mitigate its actions? That doesn’t seem likely,” added Misztal. That hostility is central to its identity and cannot be abandoned without losing its legitimacy. ”