Trump Bill creates surplus rather than debt, challenging CBO forecasts


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Republican Congress and President Donald Trump The loss of one big, beautiful legislative law (OBB) has brought great victory to the American people by enacting the law. As expected, the liberal media outlet led by CNN, MSNBC, The New York Times and The Washington Post continue to insist that OBBB will add trillions of dollars to our government bonds.

The truth is supported by both historical experience and robust economic analysis, but is the exact opposite. President Trump’s OBBB isn’t the only one Supports jobs and take-out pay For working-class American families. It cuts deficits by trillions of dollars, despite targeted spending strengthens national defense and securing borders. As a bonus, OBBB has rapidly accelerated the deportation of millions of illegal aliens, now stealing jobs and robbing wages from American citizens.

The misinformation storm at the heart of fake news is the Congressional Budget Office. For years, CBOs have been trapped in the old leftist Keynesian thinking and have stubbornly committed to a static scoring model that cannot grasp how the real-world economy responds to bold, growing policies. As someone who has witnessed President Trump create an economic agenda from within the West Wing, I can speak directly to you: when you cut taxes, cut job restrictions, achieve energy advantages, protect American manufacturing bases with tariffs, and fight for fair trade, the economy just won’t go ahead.

Donald Trump smiles

President Donald Trump (Al Drago/Bloomberg by Getty Images) in the Blue Room of the White House on Monday, July 7, 2025, having dinner with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

Exhibition A: Trump Tax Cuts and Employment Act 2017. I was there when CBO predicted a return to growth with confidence and sleepy Obama Biden “new normal” trends of 1.8-2.0%. But what actually happened?

President Trump’s “big and beautiful bill” unleashes prosperity in parallel

In 2018, Real GDP went ahead at 2.9%. Business investment has skyrocketed. Thousands of billions of overseas profits have returned home. Small businesses and consumers finally felt Washington had the back. And they responded by spending, investment and employment. All this completely blinded the CBO bean counter, which missed the wave of innovation and confidence that Trump’s policy sparked.

CBO 2.0 is here – once again coming across the Trump policy field, becoming a trademark combination of rearward modeling and partisan blind spots. Instead of learning from that epic misfire Trump 2017 Tax BillCBO is currently recycling the same flawed assumptions to smash the financial integrity of President Trump’s one big beautiful bill. And fake news is eating it.

Here’s how the CBO’s tired old false reporting law unfolded: At the beginning of OBBB scoring, CBO defaulted to its static methodology. Like 2017, it assumed Just’s chronically overwhelming annual GDP growth rate 1.8%Regardless of supply-side reforms during play, he’s the same old guy he’s been keeping up for over a decade. Of course, the result CBO debut analysis The OBBB was a forecast to grab the $3.9 trillion headline added to national debt over the next decade.

Of course, this initial prediction was exposed to a dead fire due to two prominent omissions. First, it ignored the dynamic growth effects burned into OBBB’s permanent tax cuts, deregulation measures and investment incentives, as in 2017. Second, it refused to explain the revenue-generating power of Trump’s tariff policy, which would generate up to $2.8 trillion in the same decade.

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Under heavy fire, the CBO scrambled to release a second “dynamic” estimate, but once again, they blew it away. This time they frontloaded the bill’s costs, cooked books, and artificially inflated their early debt. That allowed them to assume a surge in interest rates, which conveniently wiped out the very growth their model was supposed to measure. It was a masterclass in bureaucratic sabotage that disguised financial analysis.

WIT: When frontloading spending, those policies should frontload the growth surge that triggers, especially for growth-oriented tax cuts and business investment incentives. Investments, more employment, more productivity from this dynamic growth surge lead to higher revenues and lower debt burdens. Also, as borrowing needs decrease, interest rates should rise rather than rise in market prices, as they are more fiscal sustainable.

If the CBO had conducted an intellectually honest, dynamic analysis and accurately explained Trump’s tariffs, they would have predicted something large. It does not increase equally significantly in debt. Instead, what we got was yet another ideological forecast designed to trust the Trump-led growth agenda that history has already established before.

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This CBO trash is something Americans have been in the middle of every night and night before Trump Mad Syndrome efforts, trusting those who doubt the truly big, beautiful, and financially responsible bill.

This is the real news: President Trump Through faster economic growth and robust tariff collection, we designed tax cuts that we don’t just pay for themselves. OBBB cuts the US deficit by trillions while funding everything from tips and no overtime taxes to far stronger defense and much safer borders. Get ready for your rocket ship.

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